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Sources of Conflict (1995) |
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forms of dispute
In 'Military security in the post-Communist age ', Ivan Volgyes lists four categories of threats, both real and perceived, which will continue to have an effect on Central and East European countries' foreign and military policy:
Many of these conflicts are largely confined to academic circles but can remain obstacles to integration and cooperation in a regional and European context.
Czech Republic
1. Czech-Germany. Sudetenland.
There are approimately ??million Sudeten Germans - expelled in 1945 -
and their descentants now living in Germany, largely Bavaria, who are vociferously
opposed to Czech policy regarding restitution. Their leader Neubauer has
repeatedly spoken out against Czech EU membership.
2. Czech-Slovakia. The 'Velvet
Divorce'. Continued friction, albeit dissipating rapidly, over the
division of assets - including military - in the aftermath of the peaceful
1993 dissolution of the Czechoslovak Federal Republic.
3. Czech-Poland. Tìin / Dìèin.
Polish minority in Moravia / Silesia.
Central European neighbours
4. Silesia, Pomerania. Poland-Germany.
Substantial stay-behind German minorities, particularly in central Silesia,
are becoming more assertive of language and cultural rights, but remain
'civil'. National and local authorities 'understanding'.
5. East Prussia (Kaliningrad).
Poland-Russia. Continued concerns of Polish authorities about the continued
high level of Russian troops in the Russian Federation exclave of Kaliningrad.
Worries about the size of the Baltic fleet stationed there.
6. Vilnius. Poland-Lithuania.
Historical claim to the Vilnius area, Polish as recently as ?1920. Polish
concern about alleged discrimination against a Polish majority enclave
in the region.
7. Bialystok. Poland-Belarus.
An historic claim to a region which is largely inhabited by ethnic Belarussians.
Not in the political arena.
8. Poland-Ukraine. Poland's
eastern border has been fluid throughout the country's history. Resultingly,
there are substantial minorities on both sides of the state frontier, though
widely dispersed in the case of Ukraine.
9. Southern Slovakia. Slovakia-Hungary.
Large, concentrated Magyar minority along Slovakia's southern border, known
also as 'Upper Hungary'. Hungarian concern over language rights and local
government. Other concerns including Gabèikovo dam on Danube.
10. Transcarpathian Ruthenia.
Hungary-Slovkia-Ukraine. A region with competing historical claims and
ethnic diversity.
11. Transylvania. Hungary-Romania.
Long-standing dispute over sizeable Hungarian minority deep inside modern-day
Romania. ?Discriminatory language and culture laws.
12. Vojvodina. Hungary-Serbia.
Ethnically mixed formerly autonomous republic within Serbia. Treatment
of the large Hungarian minority of concern to Hungary.
13. Gagauz. Bulgaria-Turkey.
Geographically compact Christian Turkish-speaking minority in Bulgaria
about whose treatment Turkey is concerned.
14. Souther Dobruja. Bulgaria-Romania.
Bulgaria has a claim to this area of Romania.
15. Trieste. Slovenia-Italy.
Italian claim over Trieste's hinterland and Gorizia, plus sought restitution
for expelled Italian landowners, has led to Italy delaying Slovenia's integration
into Western insitutions.
16. Koper Bay. Slovenia-Croatia.
Croatian claim over approx. 1/3 of Slovenia's tiny coastline, due to Yugoslav
internal borders.
[boundary and ethnic conflict within former Yugoslavia are omitted due to their complex, inter-related nature]
Former Soviet Union and the Balkans
17. Vilnius. Belarus-Lithuania.
Belarus territorial claim and ethnic minority in Vinius area.
18. Kaliningrad. Russia-Lithuania.
Dispute over transit rights of Russian citizens and military between the
exclave and heartland. Continued concern over the presence of large military
concentration.
19. Latvia-Russia. Dispute
with Russia over treatment of the large Russian population concerning military
pensioners and citizenship laws. Presence of Russian military microwave
station at Skrunda.
20. Taartu. Estonia-Russia.
Ongoing dispute over border settlement. Large Russian population, concentrated
towards the Russian border.
21. Moldova. Romania-Moldova.
Romanian nationalists are pressing with some political support for 'reunification'
of former Bessarabia with the motherland.
22. Trans-Dnestria. Moldova-Russia.
Predominantly ethnic Russian, self-declared republic to the east of the
Dneistr river seeks union with Russia which protects it (14th Army group
presence).
23. Crimea. Ukraine-Russia.
Ethnic Russian republic seeking local powers and possible 'reunification'
with Russia. Territorial dispute over Crimea peninsula and Black Sea Fleet
assets and bases.
24. Donbass. Ukraine-Russia.
Substantial and vocal Russia minority being vocal in calls for closer links
with Russia.
25. West Ukraine. Local population
seeks to sever all ties with Russia and is causing internal east-west tensions.
26. Belarus. (Belarus-Russia)
President Lukashenka adopting an increasingly populist, absolutist style
and has made comments applauding Hitler's role in 1930s Germany. Attempting
to re-unify country with Russia in a 'mini-USSR', against popular opinion.
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